Did migrants get 80% of new UK jobs? What the figure counts
LOCAL REVIEW DRAFT

1. Download the original HMRC table
Open the official release and download the nationality, region and industry ODS file. Open it in Excel or LibreOffice. Find worksheet 3, which reports UK monthly counts.



2. Read the two months
Read B4:E4 for July 2014 and B141:E141 for December 2025. Keep total, UK, EU and non-EU categories separate.
July: 28,393,100 | 24,869,400 | 1,839,000 | 1,684,800
December: 32,063,800 | 25,602,900 | 2,246,800 | 4,214,100
These are monthly average jobs, not a count of every hire

3. Subtract the start from the end
Calculate the change in each category. Add the EU and non-EU changes together. Divide that by the change in the total.
Total: 32,063,800 - 28,393,100 = 3,670,700
Non-UK: (2,246,800 - 1,839,000) + (4,214,100 - 1,684,800) = 2,937,100
2,937,100 / 3,670,700 * 100 = 80.0147%
Do not relabel this as the share of all hires

4. Compare December with December
Repeat the calculation using row 9 instead of row 4. This compares the same month in both years.
2,837,600 / 3,586,100 * 100 = 79.1277%
The series is not seasonally adjusted

5. Check the meaning before drawing a conclusion
Read the commentary definitions and nationality limitations. Compare the source table with the original report. The figures alone cannot measure workers being displaced.



TALLYCAT01 local review draft, not published
Did migrants get 80% of new UK jobs? What the figure counts

About 80% of the overall increase in UK payroll jobs from July 2014 to December 2025 was recorded under non-UK nationalities. This does not measure all new hires or establish that British workers were replaced.

Sources
Just one in five added payroll jobs since 2014 went to British nationals
https://www.centreforsocialjustice.org.uk/newsroom/just-one-in-five-added-payroll-jobs-since-2014-went-to-british-nationals
Original report announcement, not an Instagram post

State of Dependency report
https://www.centreforsocialjustice.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/CSJ-State_of_Dependency.pdf
Original claim and jobs/benefits comparisons

UK payrolled employments by nationality: July 2014 to December 2025
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/uk-payrolled-employments-by-nationality-region-industry-age-and-sex-from-july-2014-to-december-2025
Official release, updated 22 May 2026

Commentary and definitions
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/uk-payrolled-employments-by-nationality-region-industry-age-and-sex-from-july-2014-to-december-2025/uk-payrolled-employments-by-nationality-region-industry-age-and-sex-from-july-2014-to-december-2025
What payroll jobs and nationality categories mean

Nationality, region and industry tables
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a0f1c2b1eb143220d8d276c/Payrolled_employments_in_the_UK_by_nationality__region_and_industry__from_July_2014_to_December_2025.ods
Original aggregate spreadsheet for reproducing the calculation

Monthly counts by nationality
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a0f2f745e28c5cac81cf021/Monthly_counts_and_median_pay_of_payrolled_employments_in_the_UK__by_nationality.ods
Independent format cross-check of the same monthly endpoints

Data: Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0
https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/

Photo: Neil Theasby
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Three_construction_workers_in_Berkeley_Square_-_geograph.org.uk_-_6172093.jpg
CC BY-SA 2.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/
Cropped and resized; homepage darkened and overlaid. Adapted photograph under CC BY-SA 2.0. Separate TALLYCAT01 logo remains brand artwork.

Evidence checked 14 October 2026
Research and production assisted by AI